PokerNews Ambassador Lukas “RobinPoker” Robinson just lately discovered himself in an attention-grabbing bubble spot on WPT World. Taking part in the $530 Thursday Throne, Robinson clashed with fellow streamer Driftinator in a hand that ended with a river shove and loads of questions.
After shedding the pot, Robinson turned to GTO Wizard to interrupt down the motion road by road and discover out whether or not his river jam with king-queen was too skinny, or solver-approved.
Hand Historical past
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Robinson, the chip chief with 54 huge blinds within the small blind, picked up Okay♥Q♦. Driftinator sat within the huge blind with 25 huge blinds.
Robinson raised to 3bb and Driftinator referred to as. The flop fell 10♣9♦2♠, the place Robinson c-bet 2.5bb and obtained a name. The flip introduced the three♦, resulting in a 5.8bb barrel that Driftinator as soon as once more referred to as.
The river was the Okay♦. Robinson jammed for 13.5bb into 23.2bb, and Driftinator referred to as with a set of nines to scoop the pot.
Pre-Flop Evaluation
Elevating king-queen offsuit from the small blind with the chip lead is GTO authorized, as bubble dynamics reward aggression. No participant can eradicate the chip chief, whereas everybody else should tighten ranges to keep away from busting.
Driftinator’s name with pocket nines can also be backed by the solver. Whereas many would count on nines to jam towards an aggressive small blind, the solver really prefers calling barely extra usually. Each choices maintain similar EV, that means each gamers performed completely earlier than the flop.
Flop Evaluation
On 10♣9♦2♠, the solver prefers checking or betting pot (6.6 bb) with all KQo combos. The two.5bb sizing is just used at a really low frequency, and whereas not technically a mistake, overusing it could create an exploitable leak. The technique Robinson had in thoughts when enjoying the hand concerned betting 2.5bb with KQ far too usually, which is why the solver think about it a small misplay.
Earlier than Robinson analyzed this hand, he’d use two betting sizes on this board, a small and a big wager, with the biggest round 75% pot. Curiously, the solver prefers 100% pot and even an all-in, one thing he is eager to include into his personal sport. This reveals why finding out is vital.
The all-in sizing additionally works very properly for worth fingers like AT/KT, because the BB nonetheless has to name most of their Tx combos and even some 9x. It’s additionally efficient for bluffs like KJo and Q8o, forcing folds from fingers like KQ whereas getting referred to as by fingers like T8 and K9, which has a lot better fairness.
Driftinator’s name with a set of nines is the proper play. There isn’t any want to boost; the stack sizes make sure the chips can nonetheless go in later whereas permitting Robinson to proceed bluffing.
Flip Evaluation
The flip 3♦ noticed Robinson hearth 5.8bb, which GTO authorized. King-queen makes for a powerful bluffing candidate, with two overs, a gutshot, and the power to fold out weaker fingers. Robinson’s sizing was additionally near the solver’s advisable geometric wager (6.1bb), which units up a river shove.
As soon as once more, Driftinator’s name with a set was optimum. The right technique is solely to let the small blind proceed betting.
River Evaluation
The river Okay♦ gave Robinson high pair, and he jammed for slightly below pot. The solver confirms this was the proper play.
Each king-queen offsuit combo desires to jam on this spot to maximise EV. Checking or betting small would each lose worth.
Driftinator’s name with a set can also be necessary. Folding can be a significant mistake.
Key Takeaways
Robinson’s shove was not too skinny. Solver evaluation confirmed that his pre-flop elevate, flip wager, and river jam have been all right. The one misstep was the small c-bet sizing on the flop. Even so, the general line was sturdy, and variance dictated the consequence.
This hand reveals how solver work can reveal leaks in even stable traces. A 2.5bb c-bet could look positive in-game, however finding out revealed that polarizing to pot or verify is a stronger strategy. By figuring out these errors, gamers can refine their technique and develop into more durable to play towards in bubble situations.
Robinson streams WPT World on Twitch six occasions a month, with the Thursday Throne being his common flagship broadcast each Thursday from 5 p.m. UK time.
Lukas Robinson
PokerNews Ambassador
