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A GTO Wizard Breakdown of the 2025 WSOP Main Event Final Hand

September 10, 2025
in Poker News
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The 2025 World Sequence of Poker (WSOP) Major Occasion produced a finale that shall be remembered for years.

After greater than every week of grueling play at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas, the $10,000 buy-in match that drew 1000’s of hopefuls got here right down to a heads-up conflict between two very totally different gamers: leisure participant John Wasnock and four-time Poker Gamers Championship winner Michael Mizrachi, identified all over the world as The Grinder.

Ultimately, Mizrachi walked away with the bracelet each poker participant desires of and an eight-figure payout, whereas Wasnock banked a life-changing $6,000,000. The ultimate hand was one of the vital entertaining of your complete last desk, which makes it an ideal spot to place underneath the microscope with a GTO Wizard breakdown.

Preflop

Wasnock (SB): 75,500,000 (30.2bb)Mizrachi (BB): 509,000,000 (203.6bb)

With blinds at 1,000,000/2,500,000 and a 2,500,000 large blind ante, Wasnock started the hand with simply over 30 large blinds. From the small blind, he raised to five,000,000 holding A♠9♦.

Small blind preflop range

Small blind preflop vary

Whereas it appears like a pure open in such an enormous spot, the solver really leans towards a distinct method. With this stack depth, ace-nine offsuit prefers limping, mixing right into a passive vary that protects it from being too weak general. Elevating shouldn’t be catastrophic, but it surely doesn’t maximize anticipated worth.

Big blind preflop range

Huge blind preflop vary

Mizrachi defended his large blind with 10♣3♣, which idea completely approves. In these spots, each suited hand is supposed to proceed, and ten-three suited is a pure name.

Flop

Big blind flop range

Huge blind flop vary

The flop got here A♦9♣7♣, giving Wasnock high two pair and Mizrachi a flush draw. Mizrachi checked, which is totally in step with solver technique. From the large blind, range-checking is fully acceptable in opposition to the small blind’s stronger distribution.

Small blind flop strategy

Small blind flop technique

Wasnock, nonetheless, checked again, and that is the place idea disagrees. With such a powerful hand on a dynamic board, the solver desires him to guess at a really excessive frequency.

Ace-nine EV on the flop

ace-nine EV on the flop

Betting not solely builds the pot but additionally denies fairness to weaker arms, significantly flush attracts. The solver exhibits that each guess dimension produces extra anticipated worth than checking right here, making this a transparent mistake.

Small blind EV on the flop

Small blind EV on the flop

Flip

Big blind turn range

Huge blind flip vary

The 4♣ on the flip accomplished Mizrachi’s flush. He checked once more, and the solver helps this alternative. Persevering with to examine vary is sensible, particularly since Wasnock had proven he may slow-play by checking again on the flop.

Wasnock then fired 10,000,000 into 12,500,000, a guess that idea doesn’t favor. Betting with A9 after the flop examine is ok in precept, however the sizing is just too giant.

Small blind turn range

Small blind flip vary

Small blind ace-nine turn EV

Small blind ace-nine flip EV

The solver prefers one thing nearer to 40% of the pot. The smaller guess dimension extracts worth from worse arms, retains ranges balanced, and avoids taking part in instantly into flushes. By selecting a 90% sizing, Wasnock polarized himself unnecessarily and set himself up for hassle.

Mizrachi raised to 30,000,000, which inserts solver-approved technique. Idea likes fast-playing a few of the weaker flushes whereas slow-playing the strongest ones.

Big blind range on the turn to the bet

Huge blind vary on the flip to the guess

Ten-three suited turn EV

Ten-three suited flip EV

His alternative of sizing was on the bigger facet, however the solver exhibits little distinction in anticipated worth between 2.5x and 3x raises.

Wasnock then moved all in for his remaining stack, and Mizrachi snap-called. From a GTO perspective, each gamers have been appropriate at this stage. All combos of A9 are supposed to jam, and flushes that increase the flip are pure calls in opposition to a shove.

Ace-nine play against a raise

Ace-nine play in opposition to a increase

The river introduced the 5♣, sealing the checkmark for Mizrachi. The Grinder was as soon as once more a WSOP champion, this time strolling away with probably the most prestigious bracelet of all and $10,000,000.

The Verdict

The solver gave Mizrachi near-perfect marks. From defending preflop to checking flop and switch, after which elevating and calling accurately, he performed the hand in textbook trend.

Wasnock, alternatively, faltered in two areas. His flop examine left cash on the desk, and his outsized flip guess made his vary unbalanced and too straightforward for a flush-heavy opponent to take advantage of.

Nevertheless it’s straightforward to criticize with solvers in hindsight. Within the second, underneath the load of a $10 million choice, Wasnock relied on intuition, and his run nonetheless earned him one of many greatest prizes of the summer season.



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Tags: BreakdownEventFinalgtoHandMainWizardWSOP
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